Adyen reclaimed the 20-month SMA, suggesting a potential bullish shift in momentum.
Resistance at €1,600 aligns with Fibonacci and Ichimoku levels, signaling a critical breakout zone.
Failure to hold €1,500 could lead to a pullback to €1,400, with support levels being closely monitored.
The Adyen (ADYEN) monthly chart analyzed by Cantonese Cat highlights a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders formation. The stock has reclaimed its 20-month simple moving average (SMA), transitioning it from resistance to support—a technical development. Currently trading at €1,553, Adyen is testing the Ichimoku cloud resistance and the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which are key hurdles for further upward momentum. A breakout above these levels could confirm a long-term bullish reversal, while failure to sustain support could lead to a pullback.
YouTube member request $ADYEN monthly chart… bullish chart with inverted head and shoulder with 20 month SMA being reclaimed from resistance to support, but it’s right at monthly Ichimoku cloud resistance and right at 0.618 fib resistance… could pass through or could go back… pic.twitter.com/6ZkrpYODzH
— Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈 (@cantonmeow) February 9, 2025
SMA Reclaim and Its Implications
Adyen’s 20-month SMA, currently positioned at €1,500, has served as a marker for trend reversals. Its reclaim indicates a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Historically, such a reclaim has often led to sustained rallies. However, if Adyen fails to hold above this level, it could revisit the **0.5 Fib near €1,400, acting as the next major support zone.
At present, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, a level often associated with strong resistance, aligns closely with Adyen’s Ichimoku cloud resistance. This confluence of resistance near €1,600 makes it a critical level to watch. A successful breakout above this range could trigger a rally toward €1,800, aligning with the next resistance band on the chart.
Potential Scenarios Ahead
If Adyen breaks through the €1,600 resistance, it could test the €1,800–€2,000 range over the coming months. On the downside, if selling pressure emerges, the stock may retest the 20-month SMA at €1,500, with the €1,400 level serving as a secondary support. Volume trends suggest rising participation, which further supports the likelihood of a decisive move soon.
The analysis provides a clear roadmap of technical levels and scenarios to monitor. With a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern in play and key technical indicators aligning, Adyen is at a pivotal moment.