US China Tariff War Over: Will BTC Price Hit $100K?

A Diplomatic Breakthrough with Crypto Implications

After years of economic tension, the United States and China are on the brink of finalising a historic trade deal. The announcement by President Trump that the tariff war is nearing its end has injected fresh optimism into global markets. But beyond traditional stocks and commodities, crypto investors are asking a very specific question: Will Bitcoin (BTC) now break through the $100,000 mark?

Why the End of the US China Tariff War Matters

The US China tariff standoff disrupted global supply chains, hurt investor sentiment, and triggered volatility across financial markets. With tariffs as high as 145% on some goods, the trade war slowed economic growth and spooked institutions from taking risks.

Now, with a resolution in sight:

1. Tariffs are expected to ease significantly on both sides.
2. Supply chains may normalise, reducing inflationary pressure.
3. Investor sentiment is rebounding, lifting equities, commodities, and crypto.

BTC Price and Macro Confidence: The $100K Question

Bitcoin has become a barometer for global liquidity and investor confidence. Historically, it performs well when macro fears fade and capital flows into riskier assets.

With the tariff war fading into the background:

1. Institutions may renew large-scale BTC allocations.
2. Retail investors could re-enter the market amid bullish headlines.
3. ETF inflows may accelerate now that global trade risks are easing.

🔵 Current Range: $70K–$80K
🟢 Bullish Target (Q2–Q3 2025): $100K–$110K
🔴 Risk: BTC may stall if other macro factors (e.g., interest rates) remain tight.

By TradingView – BTCUSD_2025-04-19 (YTD)

What About ETH, XRP, and SOL?

• Ethereum (ETH): With renewed optimism, ETH could push toward $3,000 as DeFi and enterprise activity picks up.
• XRP: Often tied to cross-border settlement narratives, XRP may benefit from revived trade talk momentum.
• Solana (SOL): High-performance layer-1 chains like SOL could regain momentum, especially if markets shift back into “growth mode.”

Wider Market Effects

Stock Market:

• Tech and industrials are bouncing as trade fears ease.
• Companies dependent on Chinese manufacturing (e.g., Apple, Tesla) see upside.

Commodities & Supply Chains:

• Rare earth access and shipping efficiency may improve.
• Commodity inflation could cool, stabilising prices across sectors.

Currency Markets:

• USD and RMB may stabilise, while Bitcoin’s neutral role as a cross-border, non-sovereign asset gains appeal.

Will BTC Price Go Back to the $100K Moment?

Bitcoin isn’t just reacting to charts — it’s now deeply connected to macro events. The end of the US China tariff war could remove one of the biggest global risk factors holding back growth.

If the deal is finalised and markets stay in recovery mode, BTC has a real chance to hit — or even surpass — the $100K milestone in 2025.

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