Bitcoin Could Peak at $170,000 Sooner Than Expected, Says PI Cycle Model

Bitcoin has been on a tear lately, breaking into new all-time highs, and with that, an important signal known as the PI Cycle Top Indicator is showing signs that could help predict when this bull run might peak.

According to analyst Rekt Capital, the PI Cycle Top uses two moving averages to signal when Bitcoin may be nearing its top. Historically, these moving averages, especially the 111-day average, have accurately predicted the end of previous bull markets. Recently, this faster-moving average has been rising sharply. Back on June 1, it was tracking around $92,000, but now it’s already near $98,000, just under $100K. This quick rise shows how strong the current price momentum is.

What’s important here is how fast the predicted “crossover,” when the two moving averages intersect, is moving forward in time. A few days ago, the crossover was projected for April 2027, but now it’s shifted to February 2027. And if Bitcoin continues to consolidate or climb, that crossover could move even closer — possibly into 2026 or even late 2025.

Why does this matter? Because when the crossover occurs, it has typically marked the top of the bull market. If the trend continues, we could see this crossover hit when Bitcoin is priced somewhere between $130,000 to $170,000, or even more if momentum keeps building.

The key takeaway: While we may still be early in this bull run, the data is telling us that the window to take profits could arrive as early as the second half of 2025.

The PI Cycle Top Indicator won’t act alone, but it’s one of the most reliable tools we have to track when the cycle might end. Keeping an eye on it could make all the difference in this high-stakes crypto journey.

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