Bitcoin is consolidating between major EMAs, mirroring 2021 trends that led to a breakout.
Bitcoin needs to hold the 50-week EMA to continue its bullish trend.
Reduced trading volume is a warning signal as Bitcoin nears a market decision.
Bitcoin is currently in the pivotal consolidation phase after a ferocious retracement from its most recent all-time high. Price is probing major support levels, and these will set the course for the next significant direction in the market.
Bitcoin Consolidates Between Key Moving Averages
A Rekt Capital analysis illustrates Bitcoin’s current price landscape, which resembles the case in 2021. The price is trading between the 21-week and 50-week EMAs, a similar setup before Bitcoin’s breakout in mid-2021. According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s previous movements are a sign that there may be a continuation of the uptrend.
Source: Rekt Capital
The coin is also testing support near the 50-week EMA, an area that has been significant in past market cycles. If Bitcoin can hold this support, a bounce can trigger another bull run. However, if it loses this level, further downside may be on the cards before recovery can be achieved.
Rekt Capital points out that Bitcoin had been consolidating in this range prior to breaking into new all-time highs in November 2021. The analyst points out that a repeat setup will trigger another breakout, pending Bitcoin staying above key support levels.
Also, the absence of significant volume means that the traders are not yet convinced, still waiting for a strong breakout. Rekt Capital points out the importance of holding key support as previous price action has demonstrated retests like this before spectacular rises.
Historical Trends Suggest a Critical Market Moment
A recent assessment from TradingView observations further supports the consolidation pattern. The time frame shows Bitcoin trading between $33,000 and $42,000 within a descending triangle formation.
Source: Trading View
Bitcoin has persisted in testing resistance at around $42,000 and supporting at around $33,000. A breakout above the upper resistance with confirmation can signal a new bull run, and a breakdown below support can result in extended corrections.
Moreover, historical patterns show that Bitcoin went through similar consolidations before significant price increases. The present price action is indicative of a compression phase, which is a precursor to higher volatility. The next major move will hinge on whether Bitcoin holds support or sees additional selling pressure.