Ethereum on thin ice: is a drop below $1,000 imminent?

Ethereum has re-entered a multi-year trading range, showing continued weakness with no signs of bullish momentum. With price now hovering near the channel midpoint, technical indicators suggest the potential for a full rotation back to the range low — a level that could trigger either a major bounce or historic breakdown.

Ethereum’s price action (ETH) is flashing serious warning signs as it struggles to hold any bullish structure after falling back into a critical multi-year trading range. Since its rejection from higher levels, ETH has followed a textbook bearish pattern: re-entry into the range, a bearish retest, and now consolidation at the channel midpoint. While this area is currently acting as temporary support, the broader picture — especially on the weekly time frame — remains overwhelmingly weak.

Unless ETH can show signs of strength soon, a deeper pullback toward the range low support is likely. The last time the price tested this level, it led to a strong expansion. However, a failure to hold it this time could send Ethereum below $1,000, a level not seen in recent history.

Key points covered in this article:

• Ethereum has re-entered a multi-year trading range, confirming a bearish structure
• Price is currently sitting at the channel midpoint, struggling to establish support
• Failure to show strength here increases the probability of a move to sub-$1,000 levels

Source: TradingView

Since June 2022, Ethereum has respected the boundaries of this long-standing trading range. After recently finding acceptance back within it, price action confirmed its weakness by retesting and rejecting from the upper boundary — a classic bearish retest. This was followed by a slide down toward the channel’s midpoint, where ETH is now attempting to stabilize. However, there is no meaningful sign of buyers stepping in yet, making the current bounce fragile and vulnerable.

From a technical perspective, a full rotation to the range low makes sense. This would complete the range cycle and potentially allow ETH to establish a more reliable base for a future move higher. However, if that low support range fails, Ethereum would likely break below the critical psychological and historical support level of $1,000 — something that would send shockwaves through the market.

It’s also crucial to remember that price tends to complete business on both sides of a trading range before initiating a directional move. Right now, the “business” at the lower end of the range hasn’t been completed, suggesting further downside is still in play unless strength emerges fast. Traders should keep a close eye on price behavior near the range low and any signs of bullish reversal structures forming there.

How to Trade This Setup:

Look for signs of strength at the range low, such as a swing failure pattern or strong bullish engulfing, to consider a long setup. However, be cautious of sub-$1,000 breakdowns, which would invalidate bullish setups and call for reevaluation of structure and risk.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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