Bitcoin Forecast Models Set $250K as the May Target for 2025 Cycle

• Institutional capital is already fueling Bitcoin’s rise, with forecasts topping $700,000.
• Bitcoin’s halving cycle and global liquidity boost could drive price to $250,000.
• Bitcoin’s role as a decentralized refuge boosts long-term price forecasts.

Bitcoin enters May 2025—a month closely watched for market direction—including a flurry of bold price predictions from top financial analysts. A growing consensus points to institutional capital not just arriving, but actively shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory for the remainder of the year.

While specific price targets vary widely, the underlying theme is consistent: Bitcoin is becoming integrated into mainstream finance and could reach valuations previously thought unlikely.

📊 TOP-10 #Bitcoin price predictions in 2025 from top banks, funds, investors and investment managers.

What is your prediction for $BTC this year?👇 pic.twitter.com/0vqbPNfkyI

— Carl Moon (@TheMoonCarl) May 2, 2025

Fund Managers Point to $250K-$700K Bitcoin in 2025

Standard Chartered bank projects Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, driven by institutional demand for inflation hedges and as a store of value.

Investment bank H.C. Wainwright forecasts $225,000, citing the Bitcoin halving’s impact and clearer regulations as key factors. Tom Lee from Fundstrat and investor Anthony Pompliano share a $250,000 target. They expect rising global liquidity and sharp demand spikes to fuel the rally.

Asset manager VanEck offers a more measured $180,000 target based on gradual institutional onboarding, but warns a market correction could follow if saturation occurs.

Higher Targets Emerge: BlackRock Eyes $700K, Palihapitiya $500K

Among the most bullish predictions, analysis linked to Larry Fink’s BlackRock suggests Bitcoin could hit $700,000. This target assumes institutions allocate just 2–5% of their portfolios to BTC, a shift that would represent an unprecedented capital influx.

Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya targets $500,000, arguing Bitcoin will serve as a refuge asset amid rising global fiscal instability and systemic risk.

Other analytical approaches yield different results. Sina, a quantitative analyst from 21st Capital, provides a wide $135,000 to $285,000 range using quantile models based on various market scenarios.

On the more conservative side, 10x Research projects $122,000 using technical analysis indicators. Meanwhile, sentiment data from the GFO-X Survey points to a collective forecast of $150,000, reflecting growing investor confidence tempered by market uncertainties.

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